German Chancellor Angela Markel, spooking investors on Wednesday by saying the euro was in danger, urged speedy action to stop market "extortion" and said the EU needed a process for "orderly" insolvency of members.
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When are we going to stop market "extortion" here?
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ALEA IACTA EST
by Egon von Greyerz – Matterhorn Asset Management
Yes this is it! We have crossed the Rubicon and events in the world economy are now likely to unfold in a totally uncontrollable fashion. Clueless governments still don’t understand that it is their ruinous actions that have created a credit infested and bankrupt world. They will continue to prescribe the same remedy that caused the problem in the first place, namely more credit and more printed money. The consequences are clear; we will have hyperinflation, economic and human misery as well as social unrest.
When will the world finally begin to understand that we have reached the point of no return and that “the voyage of their life is bound in shallows and in miseries” (Shakespeare, Julius Caesar). Sadly, we are probably not very far from that point. It is already starting to happen in many countries.
The latest EU and IMF package of $ 1 TRILLION (Euro 750 billion) is yet another futile attempt by governments to abolish poverty by printing paper. Let’s be absolutely clear, this money does not exist and the EU governments are hoping by declaring such a large amount that they can con the Wolfpack speculators. At this point the EU has just picked a large round figure out of the air. But when their bluff is called by the Wolfpack and the next attack happens, EU governments will after initial huffing and puffing start printing unlimited amounts of paper.
So the world is now on its road to ruin and there is no action, no leader and no new amount of printed money that can save the world or prevent a hyperinflationary depression.
Never in history has the world been in a situation when virtually all industrialised countries are bankrupt. Therefore there is no precedent for what will happen in the next few years. What we can be quite certain about is that events will happen in a seemingly random pattern and that it will be impossible to forecast where the next crises will start.
But although we will not be able to predict in what order events will take place, we can expect much of what is outlined below to happen.
Wolfpack attacks
Already back in 2007 we warned about the very high risk of the CDS (credit default swap) market. This is now one of the primary instruments used by the Wolfpack (expression coined by the Swedish Finance Minister Borg). The Wolfpack, speculators with enormous fire power such as hedge funds and investment banks, use the CDS market to attack any weak financial sector, be it a country, a bank or a company. The combination of the leverage of the CDSs and the massive capital available to the Wolfpack makes it possible for them to bring down or badly maul whatever they attack. It was not the Wolfpack that caused the problem in for example Greece but they can bring down a weak victim quickly and profit immensely and immorally from it.
There are so many weak potential victims that the Wolfpack can attack and they will start with the most vulnerable ones like, Portugal, Spain and Ireland etc. But when the time is right they will also attack the US and the UK.
So in the coming year we will see country after country coming under attack from the Wolfback which will lead to acceleration in money printing and higher interest rates.
Iceland – Ireland – Greece – Who is next?
The EU support package of $ 1 trillion is supposed to be sufficient to protect the rest of Europe from another Greek tragedy. The dilemma with such a massive EU commitment is that no government expects to have to pay the money out. If they did the voters in the respective EU countries would throw out their government. Why should the German people, who are also having hard times, pay for the Greeks, Portuguese or the Spaniards, especially since these loans will never be paid back.
Greece is bankrupt but is still taking on additional EU loans of € 140 billion. In addition, their austerity measures are supposed to bring the deficit down from 12% of GDP today to 3% in a few years time. But who can be so stupid as to lend to a bankrupt nation which will sink into the Ionian and Aegean Seas in the next few years. With massive cuts in government expenditure, with major falls in output, with unemployment rising fast, with tax revenues collapsing how can Greece possibly be expected to improve the economy and pay a high interest rate on their exploding debt? In addition, as long as they have the Euro they will be totally uncompetitive. So if they couldn’t manage their economy in the so called good times, it is absolutely guaranteed that they have no chance of surviving in bad times. So Greece will default and so will Portugal, Spain, Italy, France, the UK, the US and many more. But before that there will be the most colossal worldwide money printing exercise which would have used up most of the trees in the world but for electronic fiat money.
So, if virtually bankrupt nations don’t cut their deficits, they will definitively go under and if they try to cut, they will also go under due to collapsing output and tax revenues and colossal debts. Thus whatever actions governments take or don’t take, they are damned.
The table below shows debt as a percentage of GDP for various OECD countries. The official debts (in red) are massive and unlikely to ever be repaid in real money. Total debts (grey bars) include unfunded liabilities such as pensions and health care. Spain has the lowest total debt to GDP of 250%. Germany and the UK have around 400%, the US over 500% and Greece over 800% debt to GDP. These figures are absolutely astronomical and prove that most governments in the world will be totally incapable of repaying their debts or funding the pensions or medical care which they have committed to. It doesn’t matter however much governments cut expenditure or raise taxes, all these countries are insolvent and nothing can save them.
The world must permanently readjust
Most governments still believe that deficit spending and money printing is the solution to all their problems. Because the world economy’s expansion in the last 100 years and particularly in the last 40 years has been primarily based on credit and not real growth, governments live under the false impression that money printing will work this time too. But we have reached the point when investors will no longer buy worthless government debt that will never be repaid with real money. We will first go through a period when governments issue and buy their own debt thus monetising the debt or print money. This will be the hyperinflationary phase. Thereafter the world will realise that none of the government debt and very little of the bank debt will ever be repaid. Credit will then implode and so will also the assets financed by credit. Eventually there will be a new monetary and financial system and the world will start afresh. The adjustment period will be very long and will involve economic and human misery, leading to social unrest and major political change. It will be a horrible experience for the world during this extended period of adjustment. But it will be like a forest fire that clears out the deadwood and creates the conditions for strong new growth. Once the new era starts it will therefore be from a very much lower level and individuals will be rewarded for hard work with little or no social security safety net. Credit will only be granted for sound capital investment projects, not for consumption or speculation. Ethical and moral values will return and the golden calf will not be worshipped. But before that, the period of readjustment will be very long and extremely difficult for the whole world.
Hyperinflation
For several years we have predicted that hyperinflation is the most likely outcome of the economic predicament that the world is in. But it is unlikely to be a straightforward hyperinflationary period. Precious metals will be the primary beneficiaries of hyperinflation. Certain commodities, especially food and energy, will also go up in price. But most assets that have been financed by the credit boom will go down in real terms. This includes property, stocks and bonds. In hyperinflationary money these assets could still go up in price. If someone who earned $ 50,000 per annum in real money now earns $ 5 million in newly printed money, his house will probably also go up in nominal terms. But in real terms property prices will decline massively. There will be no credit available and interest rates will be very high, probably at least 15-20% so very few people will be able to buy a house.
Hyperinflation will destroy many currencies so paper money will definitely reach its intrinsic value which is zero. Gold and silver will virtually be the only assets that will protect investors fully against the destruction of money.
The next leg of the debt crisis is here
In our February newsletter “Sovereign Alchemy will Fail” we discussed the Sovereign Time Bomb and we are now experiencing the initial small explosions with Greece as the first victim. The $1 trillion EU/IMF rescue package was never intended to be more than a headline figure. EU governments were hoping that this would frighten the Wolfpack away. But so far this has failed. The Euro went up 4 cents when the package was announced but is now down to new lows again. How can anyone take a massive rescue package seriously when most of the countries making the commitments are bankrupt themselves? Spain and Italy have committed tens of billions each. And they are the ones that will be attacked by the Wolfpack next. This is the bankrupt saving the bankrupt. The IMF has no money but is dependent on its members of which the US is the biggest contributor. And they are bankrupt too. The UK, which is not in the Euro Zone and which has a worse budget deficit than Greece, contributed £15 billion. The new UK government is planning to cut a massive £ 6 billion of costs out of its next year’s budget which will bring major hardship. But as a last act, the outgoing labour government committed £15 billion which if paid out will never be repaid. The whole thing is a total farce. Governments commit trillions to rescue banks and sovereign states but cannot even make budget cuts of a few billion in their own countries. This shows that the world economy and the world financial system is being run by morons who only have their own self interest in mind and do not understand the consequences of their ruinous actions.
When the $1 trillion EU rescue package was announced, the US simultaneously offered European banks dollar Swap facilities (dollar loans) of a minimum $500 billion but probably much more. In addition the US Fed also injected at least $500 billion into the US banking system. These actions make it clear the banking system is under tremendous strain similar to 2008. But this is just the beginning. Things will get a lot worse.
Gold
In 2002 we advised investors to put up to 50% of their liquid assets into gold when the price was $300. To us it was crystal clear that the mountain of debts and derivatives would never be repaid with normal money but would be inflated away by money printing and this is what is now happening. The media are now talking about a bubble in gold and comparing to the 1980 top at $850. Let us be very clear, although gold has gone up 5 times since the 1999 bottom at $250, it is nowhere near its peak. Adjusted for real inflation (as per shadowstats.com) the 1980 gold peak in today’s prices corresponds to around $7,200 today. So gold could easily go up 6 times from the current price of $1,220 and still be within normal parameters.
There are many factors that will contribute to gold’s rise from here (in addition to money printing):
- Gold production is going down.
- Neither Comex (the futures exchange), nor the bullion banks would be able to deliver more than a fraction of the physical gold for which they have outstanding commitments.
- Central banks and the IMF probably don’t hold even half of the 30,000 tons that they claim they have. Most likely, at least 15,000 tons (6 years gold production) have been sold to suppress the gold price.
- The precarious financial system will lead to a total distrust of paper gold including most of the ETFs which have no physical gold.
The four factors above will lead to the most massive surge in the gold price. There will be nowhere near sufficient gold to satisfy demand at current prices. We had been expecting gold to start its acceleration in March 2010 and this is exactly what is happening. We expect the move to be relentless during most of this year with very few major corrections but with high volatility. Moves of $100 in one day could easily happen.
So gold is likely to make a top in the next few years between $5,000 and $10,000. But if we get hyperinflation the price could go exponentially higher like in the Weimar Republic when gold reached DM 100 trillion per ounce in 1923. Will gold experience the same type of correction when is has peaked as happened after the 1980 peak? Probably not, because gold is likely to be a part of a new monetary system that will be created when the current one has collapsed.
The table below illustrates the total destruction of paper money against gold in the last 100 years and shows how many ounces of gold that $1,000 bought at various times. In 1910, $1,000 bought 40 oz of gold at $25 per oz. Today in 2010, $1,000 buys 0.80 oz of gold at $1,230 per oz. This is a massive decline of 98% in the value of the dollar measured in real terms in the last 100 years. The next significant year is 1971 when Nixon abolished the convertibility of dollars to gold. It was this disastrous decision that opened the floodgates for the credit and money creation that we are experiencing currently. The dollar is down 97% since then. But even if we take more recent years, the purchasing power of the dollar measured in gold has declined catastrophically. Since the 1999 gold low, the dollar has declined by 80% against gold and since 2002 (when Matterhorn Asset Management recommended major gold investments) by 76%.
Virtually all currencies show similar declines in value against gold in the last 100 years. This is the clearest evidence of governments and central banks defrauding their people of their hard earned money. Where will it end? It will end when the dollar and many other currencies reach their intrinsic value of ZERO. That time is not far away.
18th May
Egon von Greyerz
matterhornassetmanagement.com
goldswitzerland.com
- 1 vote
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Germany's SPD could oppose eurozone looting bill:
Berlin- Legislation to rescue the eurozone system might pass the German parliament without the support of the opposition, sending a worrying mixed message about German support for the plan, politicians said Wednesday.
The bill is expected to pass into German law on Friday, as Chancellor Angela Merkel's ruling coalition continues to hold majorities in both houses of parliament.
But bringing the Social Democrats (SPD), the largest opposition party, on board would send a decisive signal to calm the markets.
The SPD's Frank-Walter Steinmeier said Merkel's appeal for broad legislative support was unconvincing, adding that too little was being done to regulate and tax financial market actors.
"Either we manage ... to reorganize the markets and fairly distribute the burdens, or we will indeed undermine the trust in Europe," Steinmeier said, calling for Merkel to follow up her words with deeds.
Legislators will determine Friday whether the 750-billion-euro (915-billion-dollar) eurozone bailout package is approved by Germany, which would be the largest single contributor, should it come into effect.
In her defence of the 750-billion-euro (915-billion-dollar) EU financial rescue system agreed in Brussels last week, Merkel said that the euro and the EU was facing an "existential test."
"It is about nothing less than the defence of the European idea," the chancellor added. However, she failed to specify details of how the rescue mechanism would be applied.
"This is about far more than the mere figures," Merkel said.
Two weeks ago, the SPD withheld its approval as parliament voted on a smaller rescue package aimed at bailing Greece out of the debt crisis which set the euro crisis in motion.
Since then, the SPD has been bolstered by a recent state election in which Merkel's Christian Democrat (CDU) and Free Democrat (FDP) allies failed to secure a majority.
Merkel's centre-right coalition fell to a 10-year low in an opinion survey released Wednesday. The governing alliance scored approval ratings of just 38 per cent according to the survey by pollsters Forsa, while the SPD rose to 27 per cent.
The chancellor's surprise decision to push internationally for a financial transaction tax could be seen as an overture to the SPD, who have called for just such a tax to be introduced and opposed the Greek bailout in the absence of such a tax.
In doing so, Merkel overruled opposition within her own coalition from the FDP, whose pro-business stance pitches them against the proposed tax.
Merkel said citizens were looking for the financial sector to pay its fair share towards the costs of the financial crisis, adding: "People are justified in asking for this."
http://theflucase.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=3539%3Agermanys-spd-could-oppose-eurozone-looting-bill&catid=1%3Alatest-news&Itemid=64&lang=en
Germany bans naked short selling, halts eurozone meltdown, stuns banksters:
Germany has taken action to avert the economic meltdown of the euorzone by banning naked short selling of eurozone sovereign debt instruments.
The ban on naked short selling of Germany’s 10 leading financial firms, euro government bonds and on related transactions in credit default swaps (CDS) was imposed on Tuesday evening, stunning the markets.
Naked short selling of CDS helped push Greece to the edge of default.
In naked short selling, a trader sells a financial instrument without first borrowing the instrument as would in a conventional short sale.
In the wake of the ban, the cost of insuring European sovereign debt against default through CDS dropped on Wednesday morning, significantly reducing the pressure on the eurozone.
The five-year Greek CDS spread dropped to 530 basis points down from 619 basis points Tuesday; the Portuguese CDS spread narrowed by 50 basis points to 220; Ireland's CDS narrowed 35 basis points to 165, and Spain narrowed 25 basis points to 155 .
The CDS spreads dropped sharply in spite of the fact there was little liquidity in the market, underlining just how destablising the CDS are.
BaFin ban includes short selling in shares in Allianz, Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank.
This could be to preempt plans to push German banks which hold Greek debt into a Lehman Brother's-style default, so plunging Europe into a double dip recession.
The surprise ban spooked bankers and the controlled, mainstream media because it strongly suggests that the global bankers and Bilderbergs have lost control of key levers of power German government.
Bilderbergs Chancellor Angela Merkel and Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble have consistently failed to regulate CDS in spite of the danger they pose to the whole eurozone, and in spite of repeated pledges to do so.
The banks stand to make a fortune from destroying the euro using their various financial instruments. But they depend on the acquiescene of regulators and governments.
However, the ban applies only to Germany.
Speculators can continue to use London and New York to set up short positions as well as a whole range of financial instruments.
It is not clear how BaFin will deal with the many other instruments to short stock and bonds and drive up interest rates on souvereign debts artificially.
Moreover, Bilderberg French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde today lambasted Germany for the ban in spite of testifying to the French National Assembly yesterday on the dangers of speculation, indicating that her opposition is just entertainment and theatre for the gallery.
Lagarde said she had no intention of following the German ban.
Also, EU Commissioner Michel Barnier, who has been working for two years on the regulation of the CDS market without any result, criticised Germany's ban.
Barnier said he would present an proposal on how to deal with short-selling in autumn, also for sovereign credit default swaps.
BaFin defended its ban because of the extreme price moves that can be caused by naked short-selling, threatening "the stability of the entire financial system".
„BaFin justifies these steps given extraordinary volatility in debt securities issued by eurozone countries. Furthermore, credit default swaps on the credit default risk of several countries in the eurozone has increased significantly. Against this background, massive short sales of the affected debt securities and the conclusion of naked credit default risk on eurozone countries had led to excessive price shifts, which could have led to significant disadvantages for financial markets and have threatened the stability of the entire financial system,“ Bafin said in a statement.
The decision by elements in the German government and regulators to go it alone and ban a key instrument the bankers need to destroy the euro suggests that the banks have lost control of the power centre in Europe’s biggest economy, in what would be a major set backf for plans to take control of Europe.
Germany now needs to launch a parliamentary investigation and probes into the Greek and eurozone crisis and bring those responsible for creating the crushing mountain of debt that can never be paid off to account.
Only probes and criminal investigations can stop the banker's attacks in the long term.
http://theflucase.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=3533%3Agermany-bans-naked-short-selling-halts-eurozone-meltdown-stuns-banksters&catid=41%3Ahighlighted-news&Itemid=105&lang=en
Why Europe and Germany face economic meltdown, hyperinflation and social upheaval:
My father had a doctorate in economics from Vienna University and explained to me many years ago how the current debt crisis would result in hyperinflation -- and how it was all planned.
I did not believe him at the time, but now I see he was right.
The banks and European governments are systematically, deliberately and wilfully engineering the destruction of the eurozone for their profit by means of artificially-created debts and artifically high interest payments.
The controlled mainstream media gives the general public a false and misleading impression of this crisi.
But unless the right action is taken, Europe will soon be in economic ruins, wracked by hyperinflation, social upheaval and prone to wars and totalitarian regimes. The nightmarish history of the 1930s, the Great Depression and the rise of Nazi Germany will repeat itself, but this time on an even larger continent-wide scale.
Today, the EU announced it has sent its first payment of 14.5 billion euros ($18 billion) to Greece allowing the government to make an immediate payment of 8.5 billion euros to banks that hold its souvereign debt, also to Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank.
But the 8.5 billion euro payment is just the beginning of the final phase in the eurozone's meltdown.
The governments of the United States and Europe alone will require at least $5 trillion dollars this year for interest payments on their „souvereign debts“ to banks such as Goldmann Sachs, JP Morgan and Deutsche Bank.
Because governments will not be able to find that kind of money from tax hikes and slashing national budgets, including pensions, education etc, the central banks, the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve, have pledged to buy bonds and so, de facto, have ensured banks get billions via the souvereign debt bond scam.
The more bonds the central banks buy, the higher the risks of a massive increase in the money supply and of inflation, even hyperinflation, wiping out the last vestiges of wealth in the European and US population.
In 2009, the USA government spent almost $2 trillion dollars on interest payments to banks like Goldman Sachs for its „souvereign debt“ (largely due to the "need" for a bank bailout). The Federal Reserve bought 17% of all Treasury issuance last year, and in 2010, borrowing is likely to be more than $2 trillion dollars.
In Europe, the European Central Bank has torn up treaties, agreements, to start giving banks trillions in the form of purchases of bonds for Greek and other souvereign debt.
German Ifo head Hans Werner Sinn explained in the FAZ newspaper how Germany and the EU has turned into a milk cow for the banks:
"Under the cover of the crisis, the European debtor nations are forcing Germany into the transfer union. Because the capital markets are not giving the debtors any more money, other EU states are now doing it,“ he said.
Because the Greek government cannot pay the banks the gigantic interest payments on their paper debts by budget cuts alone, the money has to come from slashing budgets throughout the European Union, including the German budget as well as from the ECB bond buying interventions, and transferring that money to Greece and other nations with a souvereign debt crisis.
Sinn said the new politics of the EU are diametrically opposed to the interest of Germany because they push up souvereign debt interest rates for every country. After all, why should banks and their friends, the credit rating agencies, hold back interest payments rates when they know they can get whatever they want from corrupt governments and the ECB?
Sinn said the decision to give more than a 100 billion euros of German money to banks who hold Greek or other at risk souvereign debt bonds will prolong the phase of capital outflow from Germany, creating an artificial boom in the debtor nations and weakening Germany yet more.
Clemens Fuest told the FAZ that every rule of the eurozone has been broken.
Key articles in EU treaties as well as the German constitution have been trampled on to carry out this looting of European taxpayers under the cover of a 720 billion euro eurozone souvereign debt "bailout" for the banks.
In 2010, it has been estimated that €2.2 trillion or $3.1 trillion dollars will be owed in debt interest payments to banks in the UK and in Europe alone.
If the global economy suffers a double-dip recession in 2011 or 2012 because of the credit tightening activities of the banks and because such gigantic sums are being sucked out from the real economy, there could be full-scale debt crisis at the sovereign level.
In addition, the ECB and Federal Reserve plan to buy up so many bonds will result in the worst inflation since the 1970s, highly likely in hyperinflation, wiping out the last traces of any wealth in Europe.
Rating agencies downgrades on sovereign debt will force up interest payments artificially, and also compel pension funds to unload papers, so annihilating the money pools to fund the pensions of millions.
It is vital to remember that this souvereign debt crisis was created in the first place by the banks and the bank bailouts two years ago.
Governments have not run up these debts to spend more money on education, for example. They have run up these debts to give money to the banks and stimulate economies ruined by the bank's artificial subprime and credit crunch fraud.
At the end of 2007, Ireland’s General Government Debt, for example, stood at just 25 per cent of GDP, well below the European average according to Ireland’s National Treasury Management Agency (NTMA).
After borrowing billions to stimulate its economy and after adding bank „losses“ to the national souvereign debt in late 2008 and early 2009 and without any vote in Parliament, the Irish government increased this ratio to an estimated at 64.5 per cent at end of 2009.
Morgan Kelly, professor of economics at UCD (University College Dublin) says in a study, "Whatever happened to Ireland?" that adding Irish bank losses to its national debt will leave Ireland in 2012 with a debt-GDP ratio of 115%, and a debt-GNP ratio as high as 140%, above the ratio that is currently sinking Greece.
http://www.finfacts.ie/irishfinancenews/article_1019701.shtml
If Irish banks eventually lose one third of what they lent to property developers, and one tenth of business loans and mortgages, the net cost to the Irish taxpayer will amoutn to almost one third of GDP, Kelly says.
The Irish banks made these inflated loans and drove up their debt also on the back of a housing bubble they themselves helped create in the first place with cheap credit and the subprime loans.
The SEC is now probing Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank’s role in the subprime fraud.
The banks created the housing bubble by subprime loans, and then tightened credit and imploded the housing bubble under the pretext of the „subprime crisis“.
Next, these banks got gigantic infusions of money from the government in the form of bailouts, allowing them to go on a buying spree when everyone else is broke.
Governments borrowed the money to give to cover bank's subprime losses from other banks, so creating the souvereign debt crisis.
By helping to create the souvereign debt crisis, the banks have ensured they have a steady stream of money from the government while pushing economies over the brink, allowing banks to buy up assets for a pittance.
It has been estimated that Ireland will spend €5.2 billion – 16% of all tax collected – on servicing a record national debt of €116 billion in 2010, as the country pays interest rates of almost 6% to the banks for debts it made to pay these same banks a bailout for the subprime "losses".
Interest payments in Ireland to banks for this national debt will swallow up almost every euro collected in Corporation Tax this year and next, according to Goodbody Stockbrokers.
Just as in the case of Iceland, the tide of debt engulfing the EU has largely been created by banks lending to each other.
For example, Portuguese banks owe $86 billion to their counterparts in Spain, which in turn owe German banks $238 billion and French banks $220 billion.
In short, these banks use the fractional reserve banking system to lend each other huge sums that exist largely only paper and to create debts that no one in the real economy would want or service. They then load these debt onto the government and the governments forces taxpayers to find real money as interest payments for these paper debts.
To finance the interest payments, governments in the EU are raising taxes and cutting spending and so are halting the beginnings of a recovery in northern Europe and worsening the recession created by the banks by their „credit squeeze“ under the pretext of having lost so many billions on subprime loans.
Angela Merkel, Nicolas Sarkozy and Jose Zapatero et al are, at the same, time, ignoring every real solutions to the problem.
For example, Greece has a debt of 300 billion -- albeit engineered with the help of Goldman Sachs.
The IMF loan offered in conjunction with 15 eurozone nations is 110-billion-euros.
But the 110 billion euros money is not going to paying off the principal of the debt so reducing the overall interest payments of Greece even if it were desirable to pay off this paper debt. The 110 billion euros going to pay only interest payments, bit by bit, leaving Greece on its mountain of debt.
Josef Ackermann, the Deutsche Bank CEO, even helped push up the interest payments Greece will have to make also to banks such as his, personally, by talking up the Greek crisis in the media.
So, Greece will use the entire 120 billion euros sucked from taxpyers from the rest of Europe and the worldover the next three years just to pay the interest payments on this paper debt to Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs and co.
To raise more money for the banks, the Greek government plans to raise taxes and slash pensions, sending the economy into a depression that will make it harder to raise the revenue to pay the interest payments, forcing the government to make ever deeper „austerity measures“.
The argument in the EU is that reforms will increase the competitiveness of the Greek economy.
The opposite is true.
Slashing the national budget to give gigantic sums to the banks will destroy the economy and leave people with inadequate unemployment benefits at a time when unemployment soars.
The end result will be that the banks and IMF will end up owning half of Greece in a couple of years. This is because they will be the only one with the cash to buy up companies, assets, islands while everyone else goes bankrupt due to the credit tightening and interest payments those same banks imposed.
Banning the hedge funds would bring immediate halt to this crisis.
But Michel Barnier, the EU’s internal market commissioner, passed weak legislation last year in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis, and it only comes into force in December.
The new rules for the hedge funds that played a central role in the credit crunch and souvereign debt crisis are so weak – hedge funds have register should they wish to do business in the EU and disclose their investment – that they will be of little use.
Barnier’s promise to deal “very severely” with the sovereign credit default swap market is all theatre for the general public.
So are Merkel's and Sarkozy's and co public spats.
In addition, a probe into the activities of the credit rating agencies as is occuring in the USA is nowhere in sight in Europe just as there is no probe into the subprime fraud.
The three big agencies – Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s and Fitch – downgrade souvereign debt in Europe, as they please pushing up interest rate payments at will, so ensuring ever more gigantic profits for the banks.
The new rules for rating agencies operating in Europe are also ineffectual. Rating agencies will just have to register, meet certain corporate governance standards and disclose the methodology by which they arrive at their ratings.
Far too little, and far too late.
There are also no plans for a tax on financial transactions that could raise trillions from the banks.
Pledges to reform the financial market are just propaganda being presented to the increasingly angry European public to make it look like Trichet, Merkel, Osborne and co are on the side of the taxpayers when they are actively assisting in a looting on the biggest scale in European history.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/0,1518,695386,00.html
It is not just Greece, Ireland and other countries like Spain that will suffer collapse.
Germany’s economy will eventually collapse as its export markets shrink.
Ownership of German export corporations is now overwhelming in the hands of international corporations – and it is they who profit from the exports not the German shareholders or employees.
Low wages in Germany have also depressed domestic demand.
Germany’s capital has flowed outwards to finance housing bubbles in the rest of europe leaving Germany with little capital to invest in its manufacturing base or in education.
Also, the German government and the federal states are burdened with trillions in debt made often through waste, such as the purchase of the swine flu jabs (cheaper than paying pensions after all).
While Merkel and Schäuble and Koch trample all over the EU treaties and German constitution when it comes to handing money to banks, the EU treaties are suddenly sacred when it comes to slashing the national budget to find the money for the banks.
Germany’s only hope of surviving this robbery by the banks and their political class is to ditch the euro and enter into a smaller currency union around a hard currency or reintroduce the D Mark at the right exchange rate to increase the purchasing power of Germans.
Speculators would have to be regulated to stop them driving up the D Mark’s exchange rate artificially to bankrupt exporters, and capital controls would have to be introduced.
Learning from the nightmarish hyperinflation of the 1930s which paved the way for the social catastrophe that allowed the Nazis to rise to power, Germany gave up the D Mark on the condition that the euro remains a „hard currency.“ This condition is anchored in the Contitution and in the EU treaties.
Now Merkel and Schäuble et al are breaking every law to print money for the profits of the banks, risking hyperinflation, social upheaval and war.
German Defence Minister Karl Theodor zu Guttenberg is already escalating the Afghanistan war - and at the same time ensuring sales of tanks to the German army from the same banker-owned military industrial complex.
Just as in the 1930s, war offers a way for the banksters to rob people, send them to some front to kill them while making yet more money and gaining more power.
Never again, Germany.
Stand up and say no to this robbery. Say no, to plans for hyperinflation, a totalitarian state and war.
Nie wieder. Nein.
http://theflucase.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=3532%3Awhy-europe-and-germany-face-economic-meltdown-hyperinflation-and-social-upheaval&catid=41%3Ahighlighted-news&Itemid=105&lang=en
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